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3rd December 2020 01:10 by Memnoch
Memnoch's Avatar
DEC
03
2020
There's to be an inquiry into South Africa's national lottery after 10 winners shared the jackpot when the numbers 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 and 10 were drawn.

Allegations of fraud because the numbers are consecutive and it's very unusual for the jackpot to be shared.

Yeah, so what? Let's deal with the multiple winners first: It may be unusual for several people to win, but it's not unusual for players to pick consecutive numbers. If consecutive numbers are drawn it's virtually guaranteed that there will be more than one winner.

As for the "suspicious" drawing of six consecutive numbers (which by the way weren't drawn in consecutive order), the claim that it is "extremely unlikely" is of course correct, but it's no more or less unlikely than any other combination. Each possible combination of six numbers has odds of about forty million to one and those particular six numbers have exactly the same chance as any other six numbers.

If the draw was, say, 11, 13, 24, 29, 39, 48 no one would say "Oh that's extremely unlikely" but it is. It's just as extremely unlikely as 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, or 3, 14, 15, 9, 26, 5 (see what I did there? I guarantee if you play those and you win you will have to share with hundreds of winners). People who think some numbers are 'lucky' or that the draw history has any meaning whatsoever simply don't understand probability. In particular the fact that probability has no memory, i.e. what has happened before has no bearing on what will happen in the future. If you draw 1 then 2 then 3 then 4 then 5, the chance that the next number will be 6 is exactly the same as it would be if the first five numbers were your pets' birthdays or your children's IQs or what you got by sticking pins in the card while blindfolded.

The SA lottery is very similar to the Euromillions, and in both cases there's nothing - and I mean absolutely nothing you can do to improve your chances of winning other than buying more tickets. But you can improve your chances of not having to share if you do win, by not picking obvious combinations that other people will also have picked.


2nd December 2020 13:08 by bill jarvis
bill jarvis's Avatar
DEC
02
2020
He hasn't posted for a few days.


2nd December 2020 04:11 by Lovely Fred
Lovely Fred's Avatar
DEC
02
2020
https://amp.theguardian.com/us-news/...n-court-filing

Slip the president few quid and he'll grant you a pardon?
Press reports are notorious for being a load of old rubbish, but that story sort of fits with the behaviour we've come to expect from Trump.

I wonder if there's any truth in it.


1st December 2020 04:55 by Fork Me
Fork Me's Avatar
DEC
01
2020
Apparently all UK supermarkets have a special Christmas offer this year:

One free turkey to anyone that can run faster than security.


30th November 2020 22:09 by Lovely Fred
Lovely Fred's Avatar
NOV
30
2020
If I had the job of escorting Trump out of the white, I'd handcuff him and ruffle his hair so it hung down in a mess.
Fantastic press photos

Screenshot_20201201-050543_Twitter.jpg

What would you do?


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